After
three years of
belittling or
suppressing science, the
Bush administration
appears willing to
concede that humans and
their industrial
activity have been
largely responsible for
the recent warming of
the earth's atmosphere.
This tardy acceptance of
what mainstream
scientists have been
saying for years does
not mean that the
administration is
prepared to deal
seriously with the
problem - by, for
instance, supporting
mandatory caps on
emissions of carbon
dioxide. But at least
nobody is trying to hide
the evidence.
The
administration's views
are contained in a
report to Congress
accompanied by a letter
signed by the
secretaries of energy
and commerce and the
president's science
adviser. It asserts that
natural causes cannot
explain significant
warming since 1970 and
says that man-made
emissions from
smokestacks and
tailpipes are the likely
cause.
White
House officials, who did
not go out of their way
to publicize the report,
clearly do not mean it
to be interpreted as a
campaign-year change in
President Bush's
position on global
warming or as a
precursor to more
aggressive legislative
and administrative
measures. But they did
not brush it off, as
happened in 2002 when
Mr. Bush dismissed a
serious internal study
written by his own
experts. Nor did they
attempt to suppress it,
as happened later that
year with a report on
air pollution from the
Environmental Protection
Agency.
So
this is progress, of a
sort. But it won't mean
much unless Mr. Bush
gets serious about
remedies. His program of
research and voluntary
initiatives has
generated modest
enthusiasm in industry
but inspires little
confidence that the
warming trends will be
arrested, much less
reversed, in the
foreseeable future.
Meanwhile, there are
several initiatives
awaiting attention on
Capitol Hill that could
begin to restrict
greenhouse gas
emissions. But they have
no chance of approval
unless Mr. Bush gives
the nod to the
Republican leadership.